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A normal, human Cardinals fan would have said the same about DeAndre Hopkins after he had 1,407 yards last year. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Upside is clearly ramped up for wide receivers from age 21 all the way up to age 27, with an odd dip at age 28, then the biggest number of them all at age-29, as a whopping 11.6 percent of 29-year-old receivers have finished top-five, more than three percent higher than the next best mark. On a side note, the fact that he wont even be 24 to start his fourth NFL season is absurd. For years now weve heard the argument that running backs dont matter based on fungibility at the position and values on day two of the draft outclassing the first rounders, but what will become of wide receivers if teams keep churning them out for new weapons the closer they get to 30? Height: 5'9 Position: Wide Receiver; Coming in at number 9, Wesley Carter Welker is a former American football pro who played for 11 seasons in the NFL. Razzball.com and the Razzball logo units are copyright Razzball LLC. Like we always promise we will give you the high-level data first and you can take it for what it is worth. With the speed Houston now has in its wide receiver room, that figures to be something they could feature heavily in 2020. Here's a look at the 30 best NFL players in their 30s heading into the 2020 season. If theres someone in your dynasty league who wants to sell a wide receiver because hes rebuilding, take advantage and buy wide receivers in the 27-30 age range, as thats arguably their prime. Outside of that, veteran wide receivers are tremendous values. The 31-year-old has made six consecutive Pro Bowls and finished last season with 99 catches for 1,394 yards and six touchdowns. From 2010 to 2013, the number of 1,000-yard wide receivers (not TE, not RB), rose from 16 to 17 to 19 to 23. Meanwhile, a new breed of defender the Jamal Adamses and Derwin Jameses of the world wears multiple hats and does it all at a high level. Big Ben is coming back in 2020 after missing most of 2019 to an elbow injury. The catch seen around the world. Godwin was another easy choice here. As I do these studies annually, the average age becomes younger each season. Mahomes is among the five best quarterbacks in the NFL in negatively graded throw rate since 2018. It's no coincidence that the Saints run defense improved markedly after Davis was added in 2018. 6 years later, we're still trying to figure out HOW @obj made this catch. Similarly, he came close to leading the league in interceptions one year, recording an impressive eight interceptions during the same period. . Moore has earned 62 targets on slant and in-routes since 2018 (fourth most in NFL), and his 94.9 receiving grade on those routes trails only, . There's another steady arc in potential from age-22 through age-29, similar to the one we saw for the top-five potential. However, The average NFL career for an offensive lineman is about three-and-a-half years. This chart clearly shows that a wide receiver holds tons of value through his age-31 season, though thats where we start to see a drop-off in elite production. As you can see for the wide receiver position there is no major drop off. Mark J. Rebilas / USA Today Sports Images. Playing with Matthew Stafford from ages 26-29, Tate averaged 93 receptions and 1,056 yards per season. He did much of the same upon his return to the field in 2019 (82.5 overall grade), and its hard to see him not playing at that same level next season. The years sampled were 2011-2020 for the wide receiver position only. However, the data says otherwise which means many people can find great value in both redraft and dynasty. Football is a game mostly dominated by young players in their 20s, but many of the top players in the league are notable exceptions. He has three 1,000 yard seasons over the last four years as he enters his age 31 season. The next three seasons with Dallas were disappointing, he tore his Achilles when he was 30, and his brief comeback in 2020 with the Ravens resulted in 47 yards over six games. Dunlap has been one of the more overlooked defensive linemen in the league for much of his 10-year career in Cincy. Moore has earned 62 targets on slant and in-routes since 2018 (fourth most in NFL), and his 94.9 receiving grade on those routes trails only Deandre Hopkins and Michael Thomas. When you breakdown the production 25-29 vs. 30-34 wide receivers age 30-34 still produce at just over 92% in points and PPG vs. their late 20 counterparts. Although the sample sizes for NFL wide receivers grows smaller as age increases, readers can apply this data to fantasy drafts because Mike Tagliere shows that wide receivers do not significantly decline until the age of 33 or 34, meaning that drafters need not shy away from most older players. Please tell me youre going to stop selling wide receivers when they hit the age of 28 now. No wide receiver has finished top-five in their age-21 season. Granted, it was the run-heaviest team in the NFL, but Andrews still proved to be a legitimate downfield threat over the middle of the field. Thats what happens when a wide receiver challenges for MVP and Offensive Player of the Year; its not like being Aaron Donald or a quarterback, very few players lead the NFL in receiving more than once. Upon looking closer, it was just two receivers who accomplished that; they both did it twice (Larry Fitzgerald and Terrell Owens), and are both Hall of Famers. The first chart will include the wide receivers (WR) age, the average total fantasy points those wide receivers had at that age and the average points per game those wide receivers (PPG) had at that age. Adams has earned grades of 75.0 or higher as a run defender, tackler, pass-rusher and coverage defender in each of the past two seasons at times even serving as the Jets best edge rusher. WRs who were 29 in 2017: Antonio Brown, A.J. This doesnt look anything like the running back chart. 82 receptions for 693 yards and one touchdown in 2021. Hutson Benton Ferrante Rucinski Dewell Kavanaugh Chipley Beals Jansante North Kutner Shaw Swiacki Fears Box Mote Nickel Taylor Hirsch Lavelli Mann Pihos Wilkins Soltau Hoffman. Players who are age-32 and beyond this season are: Golden Tate, Emmanuel Sanders, and Julian Edelman. This is the list of rookies with receiving grades of 80.0 or higher on 250 or more routes over the past 10 years: Odell Beckham Jr., Keenan Allen, Michael Thomas, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Doug Baldwin and the two 2019 rookies A.J. Being able to produce with the ball in your hands matters. Since his surprising retirement in 2016, teams have followed suit: If Megatron cant play at 31, maybe nobody can., Just by the tone of his voice, I knew that he was done.@nateburleson recalls the moment he knew that Calvin Johnson was going to retire *NSFW*(via @LefkoeShow) pic.twitter.com/9CiKpphou1. The percentage of accurate passes he received dropped from 61.4% in 2017 and 2018 to 50.8% in 2019. If this chart wont do it, nothing will. Related Questions. Johnson avoided having a crater year that tainted the memories we have of him and like James Dean, will always be remembered that way. As a rookie in 2018, Barkleys 86.3 receiving grade was a top-five mark at the position, and his 31 missed tackles forced after the catch led all NFL players by eight. Hes, been particularly dangerous over the middle of the field, . His one-handed catch against the Cowboys was arguably one of the top-five plays of the decade and even if he didnt invent the technique, he popularized outstanding grabs and suddenly the magic of the position grew by leaps and bounds in the seasons since. Sutton dropped just three of his 115 targets last season. Jones needs little introduction as one of the most explosive wideouts in the NFL. Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Deshaun Watson, Christian McCaffrey, Jamal Adams, Myles Garrett and Quenton Nelson are all 25 years old, making them ineligible for this list. Hilton (32), Antonio Brown (33), A.J. window.PLAYERCARDS_CONFIG={affiliateCode:"fpros_cards"}; Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com He quickly crushed those expectations, turning into the bonified top option in the Redskins passing attack. Subscribe:Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts|Stitcher|SoundCloud|iHeartRadio. Read about the running backs here He also appeared in his third Super Bowl. Copyright 2023 YB Media, LLC. Hes put up three consecutive seasons with overall grades of 73.0 or higher on 750 or more defensive snaps, and that culminated in an 82.5 coverage grade this past season that ranked sixth among qualifying cornerbacks. Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. that also played a role. NAME GP REC TRG REC YDS AVG REC YDS/G REC TD RUSH YDS ATT YPC RUSH YDS/G RUSH TD; Don Hutson: 6: 55: 963: 17.5: 160.5: 12: Jim Benton: 5: 34 . If theres someone in your dynasty league who wants to sell a wide receiver because hes rebuilding, take advantage and buy wide receivers in the 27-30 age range. That mainly comes down to the fact that getting Chubb to the ground has been much easier said than done. Some will say that its skewed results due to the players who are still playing at that age are likely top-notch, but you mustnt forget that we removed all players with less than 50 targets from every age. Not only does he produce the jaw-dropping, highlight-reel plays, but he is just about as good as anyone in the league at hitting the easy throws and limiting mistakes. He was traded to the Titans for basically a second round pick and here are his numbers with Tennessee: nine games, 26 receptions, 376 yards, 0 TD. Dallas is the top unit because of its top three wide receivers. Patrick Peterson, CB, Cardinals. Jones Perkins Taylor Simmons Warfield Haffner Biletnikoff Pitts Garrison Mitchell Washington Twilley Briscoe Myers Bell Moses Van Heusen Beirne Doughty Miller Lewis Rucker Taylor Joiner Hill. TL;DR: This article explores at which ages NFL wide receivers have their most productive seasons. The year prior, of course, he played in 12 games while he was already 40, including seven starts.. Tight Ends. The three-time Defensive Player of the Year had four sacks in eight regular-season games last season. If you buy something from an SB Nation link, Vox Media may earn a commission. He was arguably football's best tight end prior to retiring, with four All-Pro designations in nine seasons as a great receiver and elite blocker. ), surely you have noticed what Ive noticed. On passes that were thrown 20 or more yards downfield, Jackson has allowed just 12 of his 48 targets to be completed, with 22 forced incompletions mixed in. Are you going to stop selling wide receivers when they hit the age of 28 now? Jordan was one of the Saints' most popular players, establishing quite a track record in nine seasons. Reggie Wayne, Randy Moss, Hines Ward, Donald Driver, Chad Johnson, and Derrick Mason were all at least 31, and had at least 1,000 yards. He had arguably his best season in 2019, making his second Pro Bowl while posting a 26/6 TD/INT ratio and winning a huge playoff game at New Orleans. He's entering his age 30 season. Hes been tested deep a fair amount since 2017, but Jacksons speed means that he rarely gets beaten over the top. The most polarizing offensive line prospect of the draft, Rams must be cautious if they trade back at 36, Rams cant trade out of talent if they trade back from 36th overall, Random Ramsdom: Rams grab o-lineman in latest Sporting News mock draft, Waynes career spanned 14 seasons, all with the Colts, and he was 36 in his final season, Wards career spanned 14 seasons too, all with the, Drivers career went for 14 seasons, all with the, Masons career was 15 seasons, roughly split between the Titans and Ravens, and he was 37 when he played for the, The passing eras of 1999, 2009, or 2019, are all dramatically different, Nelsons career spanned 10 seasons, 9 with Packers, retired after 33, Edelmans career spanned 12 seasons, all with Patriots, retired after 34, Garcons career spanned 11 seasons, mostly split with Colts, WFT, retired after 32, DeSeans career has spanned 14 seasons, 8 with Eagles, is playing now at 35. The biggest takeaway while looking at this chart is something many have forgotten after watching a great rookie class in 2019. Ive accumulated a 13-year sample size with only one requirement to be included. Sutton wasnt sniffing this list after a rookie season where he earned just a 63.8 overall grade and dropped nine passes (second most in the NFL). Peterson is coming off the worst year of his career at age 29, but hopes the transition to his 30s holds a brighter future. Brown and McLaurin. Get the comprehensive list of every Wide Receiver for each NFL pro football team pic.twitter.com/WrhsYbFYCD. Julio Jones hamstring falling off the bone like perfectly cooked BBQ this season. His 2.89 receiving yards per route run trailed only George Kittle at the tight end position in 2019, and he was one of three qualifying tight ends to put up an average depth of target of 11 yards or more, joining Jared Cook and Mike Gesicki. And that is what has made him the most valuable player in the NFL over the last two seasons by nearly a full win above replacement. If there's one reason to sell, it should be when a wide receiver is 30 or 31 years old . McCaffrey is the ideal modern NFL running back. Lattimore is part of the talented group of secondary players who were taken in the 2017 NFL Draft, and if you look back over his first three years in the NFL, his PFF grade of 84.9 ranks 10th at the cornerback position. Getting Chubb to the fact that getting Chubb to the fact that rarely. His third Super Bowl after missing most of 2019 to an elbow injury running backs here he also in! Wide receiver has finished top-five in their age-21 season rate since 2018 the years sampled were for... Similarly, he came close to leading the league in interceptions one year, recording an impressive eight during... After Davis was added in 2018 the five best quarterbacks in the NFL in negatively graded rate... 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wide receivers that are 29 years old
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