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The race got a 101 Beyer Speed Figure. Holy Bull earned a 121 in his career. font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; Though by no means the end all and be all of picking winners, speed figures provide a good gauge of the overall talent level of horses in a race. He also wanted a rating system that could compare horses at different distances and at all racetracks. The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. 40/1 Hallwood, 9/1 San Pedro, 11/2 Tile Tapper, 100/30 Hourvari, 3/1 Kraken Florida, 9/4 Lazy Sunday, 4/6 Altobelli. Barring any major surprises, Epicenter will be the favorite for the Preakness Stakes when the gates open on Saturday. Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. Andrew Beyer and his associates answer selected readers questions about Beyer Speed Figures. [8] It is noteworthy that Easy Goer's overall speed figures were substantially superior to principal rival Sunday Silence, despite Sunday Silence's slight three to one edge in their head-to-head races. May 5, 2022 at 5:00 a.m. EDT. That will be my guiding principle.. Happy Jack. Sprinter Turf Male Turf Female. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). With the 2022 Breeders' Cup fast approaching we take A look at the historical numbers for each of the 14 championship races. That is possible, Sadler said. border: 1px solid #CCC; Below well explore Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Speed Figure ratings. Nest improved to an 82 Beyer and a 99 Equibase figure in the Suncoast. A bay son of Not This Time, Epicenter has seen his Beyer Speed Figures go up in every race of his career, peaking with a . . GET OUR NEWSLETTER. It is done, and has always been done, by human beingsBeyer and Mark Hopkins, and their six associates. Taiba also notched a 102 in winning the Santa Anita Derby April . Their six associates involved in making figures include television commentator Randy Moss and long-time Philadelphia sports columnist Dick Jerardi, who have been with the business since its beginning. Last year, he was on fire. John doesn't need any help from us. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Beyer Speed Figure: 86.7 Betting Favorites All time: 2 for 15: 2021 Winner: Modern Games (*) $2 Exacta: $93.60 $1 Trifecta: $958.70 7 Winners on Monday! margin: 3px; Bob Weir revealed his 2022 Metropolitan Handicap picks ahead of Saturday's race, which is also known as the Met Mile . Sonora, CA (95370) Today. Below we take a closer look at the Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Figures to determine his biggest threats. Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best San Felipe Stakes Winners, Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best Fountain of Youth Stakes Winners, Triple Crown Turning Point: The Right Rider for Gallant Fox, SLIDESHOW: U.S. Last year, he was on fire. Simplification ran his career-best figure in October, but like Epicenter, he has been a very consistent runner throughout his campaign. Its true that Speightsown has sired plenty of quality 2-year-olds and talented sprinters, but hes actually far more versatile than that. Stat to remember: Since the Beyer Speed Figures were introduced in . 10 of the previous 12 Kentucky Derby winners posted a Beyer Speed Figure of 100 or more. Un Ojo notched only an 84 Beyer Speed Figure for his upset win in the Rebel (G2). Using this information to contravene any law or statute is prohibited. )[3] In 2004, Ghostzapper earned the highest Beyer Speed Figure for the year at 128 while winning the Philip H. Iselin Stakes. Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! Before you place your wagers on the Derby, you'll want the skinny on the horses. Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to earn a figure above 100, earning a 102 Beyer in the Louisiana Derby. The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. 38 Flatter Died 2022 67 111 17 0 $665,300 3 3 4% 0 0 0% 96 Hero Status. Please confirm the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and country to country. Brisnet does not mark Epicenter as a standout. f: (732) 747-8955. Taiba broke his maiden with that impressive number in a six-furlong race on March 5. Horseplayers without the Beyers would assume Destin was the quicker horse by about a length. The figure may however be adjusted if the raw numbers are unusual based on the field's previous performances. This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24 (UTC). The big step that I know for sure is that we want to get him stretched out, he said. Beyer Speed Figures favorEpicenter, and it is not very close. This allows us the opportunity to compare how horses performed across different tracks on different days. Bet with your head, not over it. Wudda U Think Now had the weekend's highest Beyer Speed Figure and Brisnet Speed Ratings after winning the black-type Hollie Hughes at Aqueduct on . Mo Donegal ran a non-threateningfifth in the Kentucky Derby after his Wood victory. Messier, Taiba and Epicenter have run the strongest of the horses in the field. Messier notched his 103 in the Robert B. Lewis on Feb. 6. He was nearly in a walk when crossing the wire after completing the seven furlongs in 1:21.37. Speed Figures: Un Ojo improved his best Equibase Speed Figure 14 points to a 91 for the Rebel Stakes, and he boosted his career-best Beyer Speed Figure 13 points to an 84. Capped a run of three wins in four starts at Fair Grounds with a score in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby, earning a career best Beyer Speed Figure of 102. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. Trained by Rudy Rodriguez, the gelding led at every call to cover the six furlongs in 1.11.17. Welcome to 2022 Kentucky Derby Prospect Snapshots, where we'll take a look each week at a recent winner on the Triple Crown trail, usually from the Road to the Kentucky Derby schedule from which the . Epicenter (+400) ran his own 102 BSF race in the Louisiana Derby (G2). Through 02/26/2023. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. In Betting Thoroughbreds, Steve Davidowitz claimed that (in 1974), "the top-figure horse wins 35 percent of the time, at a slight loss for every $2.00 wagered." Jessica Morgan / Eclipse Sportswire. Creating these figures is the result of a very complex process that involves mathematical formulas and judgment calls . Beyer Speed Figures had him with a top of 79 as a 2-year-old, but he earned a 94 for the San Vicente and a 98 for the San Felipe, so he's . Note that unlike with Brisnet and Beyer, TimeformUS also takes pace into account when formulating its figures. (Only Epicenter, Messier . Where and when, I don't know yet. She turned in her first workout on the Churchill Downs surface on Saturday, April 30, going four furlongs in 47.80 seconds. In the Demoiselle, she ran a Beyer Speed Figure of 79 and an Equibase Speed Figure of 80, several lengths slower than the figures earned by the country's top 2-year-old filly, Echo Zulu. [22] However, Beyer also acknowledged that by some calculations, Count Fleet's Beyer speed figures might have reached 150. Several other companies produce and sell power ratings, but most do not reveal their precise methodology. . It is interesting that the 94 Beyer Speed Figure that Secret Oath earned in the Kentucky Oaks puts her right in the mix with the other top contenders. Such situations can often arise in turf races when an extremely slow pace prevents horses from running a final time of which they would normally be capable.In cases where figures are questionable, races are reviewed after horses in the field run again. Odds Shark does not target an audience under the age of 18. [4] Easy Goer and Sunday Silence both earned 124 speed figures in the 1989 Breeders' Cup Classic, which tied for the fastest speed figure earned in any Breeders' Cup race. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? On the Beyer scale, the Santa Anita Derby was rated notably higher than the Wood. According to Beyer Speed Figures, the Wood Memorial (G2) was nothing more than an average race, but TimeformUS and Brisnet value the usually weak Wood Memorial as a strong race this year. Baby Yoda finished second in the Malibu, but was never a threat to Flightline, who won eased up by 11 1/2 lengths. Beyer Speed Figures express the most important factor in handicapping: how fast a horse has run in each of his starts. They both earned a Brisnet Rating of 111, which tie with Taibafor the best in the Derby. There's nothing written in stone, but I am mindful of the fact that I need to be careful.. At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. Among those not at the top of the speed figure scale, only Creative Minister is worth giving a second look. For example, a horse who earns three consecutive figures of 102, and defeats a horse with three consecutive figures of 92, would indicate a projected figure of 102 for that race is accurate. [15][16], Beyer speculated that had his figures existed in 1973, Secretariat would have scored 139 in his classic 1973 win at the Belmont Stakes. Remember Ben with a gift to Thoroughbred aftercare, Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts, Home Archive Shared News With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. We might not have seen the best from Secret Oath and Creative Minister, who have shown they can run competitivefigures while they continue to improve. }. padding: 4px; If the download does not complete, Click Here. Taiba ran his in a five-furlong Maiden Special Weight in March. Beyer Speed Figures earned by Messier (103) and Adare Manor (94) in their blowout victories yesterday at Santa Anita were the highest by male and female 3-year-olds, respectively, thus far in 2022. Below is a closer look at the career best Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Speed Figures for the North American contenders in the prospective 2022 Kentucky Derby field. This year, five colts already have surpassed a 102: Taiba, Mo Donegal, Early Voting, all with 111s to their credit, as well as Messier (108) and Zandon (103). He will now try to win the Derby in only his third start, which seems preposterous, but it seemed preposterous to win the . Its important to look at multiple data points, especially in the case of an unusually high or low number, such as that of Morello. Racing Rsum: After winning two of five starts in his first two seasons of racing with a fourth-place finish in the Grade 1 Cigar Mile Handicap Presented by NYRA Bets in his stakes debut, Olympiad has emerged in 2022 as a rising star for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). Speightstown has enjoyed success as a sire on dirt and turf and with sprinters as well as longer-distance runners. Periods of rain. It's an exciting time. [13] In 2007 the highest Beyer Speed Figure was 124 assigned to Midnight Lute in the 7 furlong Forego Handicap at Saratoga Race Course. Messier's career high of 127 and Taiba's best of 125 top the field. 60 Broad St. From this work, using the same principle, Kovitz derived the beaten-lengths chart which Beyer published in Picking Winners. No one else has topped 96. The Beyer Speed Figure specifically does not consider other variables such as the early pace or traffic problems a horse may have faced during a given race. Owned by WinStar . Written By Mo Nuwwarah on June 8, 2022 - Last Updated on June 9, 2022. This year, Taiba,Messier, and Epicenterboth have topped that mark. He made a breakthrough in the early 1970s when he began to experiment with speed figures, and was confident enough in his methodology to write a book, Picking Winners, in 1975. Kentucky Derby 2022: Why your horse can - and can't - win Saturday's race. If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. He improved to 5-for-5 this season with a dominant 2 -length victory from just off the pace in the Grade 2 Stephen Foster that resulted in a career-best 123 Equibase Speed Figure and 111 Beyer Speed Figure. Among long shots, Zozos has the best chance to spring an upset, based on speed figures. A look at the top Kentucky Derby contenders for the 2022 race heading into the March prep schedule, with Baffert still banned and new leaders in the points rankings. TimeformUS also valued the Wood Memorial, with Early Voting gaining the top mark. [12] Easy Goer also ran 121, 120 and 119 speed figures in the 1989 Travers Stakes, Jockey Club Gold Cup and Whitney Handicap. Wednesday College Basketball Best Bets: Will Texas Road Slump Continue? Sometimes, variants are split during the day if the surface changes drastically enough. By comparison, American Pharoah earned Beyers of 105 for his wins in the Arkansas Derby and the Kentucky Derby. I believe the number for the Wood was inflated after it was compared to the Gazelle Stakes (G3) at the same distance on the same card. Miles Ahead and Drain the Clock, first and second in the Gulfstream Park Sprint, were tied for third in the Beyer figures, according to the Daily Racing Form. Hes also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career. But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. As of 02.26.23. View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. } May 11:Strobe quick early, late in sparkling debut victory, May 25:Pricey Nabokov pays off with 91 Beyer, June 2:Forte shouldimprove with distance, Beyer Slideshow featuring last weekends stakes winners from around the country with Beyer Speed Figures, sire/breeder information and more. He's done a super job and he's made all the right moves. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. Seven of the 12 earned a BSF in the Kentucky Derby of 103 or higher. One of those came from Olympiad, who punched his ticket to the $6 million Longines Breeders Cup Classic with a win in the $740,000 Stephen Foster Stakes July 2 at Churchill Downs. Olympiad is a fast, consistent 4-year-old with a high-cruising speed that allows him to gain tactical position in his races, plus hes in the hands of one of the best trainers in the history of the sport. , Beyer also acknowledged that by some calculations, Count Fleet 's Beyer figure. Jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and to! A figure above 100, earning a 102 Beyer in the Suncoast College best... 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